从短期看,2026年确实可能出现“一年多次涨价”的局面,只要HBM产能挤占不缓解,LPDDR价格难以下行。但市场也存在分歧观点。有华强北存储芯片从业人士表示,“虽然网传内存涨价会持续到2027至2028年,但圈内不少人猜测2026年下半年就会‘崩盘’,内存‘崩盘’的时候可能比近期黄金的跌幅还猛。”分析师Jeongku Choi也提醒:“这一水平要么成为新的常态,要么形成极高的基准——当前看似稳固,但一旦进入下一轮下行周期(若发生),市场表现可能会更加惨淡。”
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